Recently, a group of pig breeder and 6000 pigs in the flood tearful farewell pictures in various social media was crazy turn. Although the 6000 "red pig net" has been rescued, but more farms also face flooding. The breeding farm in Anhui is the embodiment of this year's flood impact on the agriculture and animal husbandry in the southern region of China.

For a long time, the southern region is the main production areas of rice, rape, sugar cane, is an important area of pig, freshwater fish farming, the flood disaster caused a greater impact on the agriculture and animal husbandry in the southern region.

"Daily economic news" reporter learned in an interview that the recent floods caused by the lack of temporary supply of pork and vegetables, so that prices rose slightly. Industry analysts believe that the pig industry self-regulation will make the negative impact of floods will not continue, the impact of floods in the South will gradually be diluted.

Retail pig farms under pressure

"A large drought, floods a line, the number of pig farms along the Yangtze River Basin will be affected by floods." Is Jiangxi Poyang Lake Field Research of Chinese pig early warning network, Feng Yonghui, chief analyst told the "daily economic news" reporter said, China Animal Husbandry Association of pig industry branch ongoing farm disaster data collection, is not yet clear specific disaster situation, for now, the affected farms along the Yangtze River City of more serious.

"Large-scale pig farm affected by the flood is small, the retail pig farm was badly hit." Www agricultural analyst Zhang Lili said that due to the large-scale pig farms location better, and system of disaster prevention experience, after the floods also emergency measures, therefore is not affected by floods, but most small retail farms will suffer great losses.

It is worth mentioning that the size of the pig farm and retail Pig Farms in a large proportion of the disparity. According to the data provided by Zhang Lili, if to the annual slaughter of more than 300 head count scale pig farms, pig industry the proportion of about 70%; if in the industry more identity of the annual slaughter of more than 6000 head count scale pig farms, scale proportion is less than 50%. Therefore, in accordance with the proportion of view, the situation is more common and serious retail Pig farms.

Feng Yonghui believes that the real drowning in the flood and the dead pig is not much, the biggest threat to the pig industry comes from the disaster. Because is closely related to swine flu and feces urine, flooding the bacterial contamination spread around, the herd outbreak of infectious disease probability increased significantly.

At present, the country has 1192 counties affected

Zhang Lili, but believes that the flood is mainly affected the pig transport links, resulting in slaughtering enterprises received a pig is less, then caused the rise in pork price; however farms sell transport of pigs have run into obstacles, so there will be "supply and demand two light" situation, the pig price won't appear a wave motion. Pig prices have risen to an end, the pig price will fall, and will tend to be stable. "In the short term, the impact of the floods on pork prices, but the long-term impact is not."

The outlook for the pig price, there are different views. "In the short term, the southern floods resulted in the decline in market demand, the market price will not be affected by short-term supply level." Win public investment chief agricultural analyst Zhang Cheng believes that the flood on the market outlook will have to stimulate the supply side affected by the disaster, the gap is further expanded, and therefore bullish outlook.

Zhang Lili think less probability of epidemic after the disaster, on the one hand is farm total affected area may not so much; another large scale pig farming enterprise has perfect disaster prevention and post disaster prevention measures and large-scale pig field will have the corresponding insurance.

State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters Office information display, as of July 3rd, the country has 26 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) 1192 counties suffered floods, the affected population of 3282 people, direct economic losses of about 506 Billion yuan.

According to reports, until July 7, 10 statistics: since June 27, Anhui province total affected population compared with last million people, with death tolls 21 people, three people missing, emergency relocated 68.5 million people, including centralized resettlement 7.7 million people, centralized resettlement point 679. Crops affected area of 657.2 hectares (985.8 acres), 25623 houses collapsed, severely damaged 36131 houses, the general damage to housing 82042, a direct economic loss of 216.4 Billion yuan, of which 80.7 Billion yuan of agricultural losses.